Falta una bandera roja de recesión crítica

Antes de 2022, los prestatarios disfrutaron durante más de una década de la oportunidad de obtener préstamos a tasas de interés cercanas a cero, una ventaja que impulsó el crecimiento y la expansión del mercado inmobiliario comercial. En la actualidad, vemos un volumen sin precedentes de préstamos que vencen en un entorno de tasas de interés mucho más altas, y los bancos reducen su exposición a los bienes inmuebles comerciales. A pesar de estas condiciones, la demanda de préstamos sigue creciendo.

Históricamente, un repunte de la demanda de préstamos durante el aumento de las tasas de interés sería una señal de advertencia de una inminente crisis crediticia. Sin embargo, desafiando las expectativas, los datos recientes sugieren una desviación con respecto a este patrón, ya que los bancos informan de un aumento de la actividad crediticia a pesar de mantener normas crediticias onerosas. Esta anomalía, combinada con una inflación moderada, desafía los indicadores tradicionales de recesión. Si bien algunos analistas sugieren con cautela que «esta vez es diferente», persisten las incertidumbres económicas, lo que plantea una interesante pregunta sobre la dinámica subyacente del mercado.

Si bien persisten las incertidumbres, una cosa queda clara: el sector inmobiliario comercial se enfrenta a una coyuntura crucial. Estamos navegando con atención por un panorama en evolución, equilibrando el riesgo y las oportunidades en un mercado moldeado por fuerzas sin precedentes.

Este comentario apareció originalmente en Página de LinkedIn de Greg Friedman el 16 de mayo de 2024, en respuesta a una revista Inc artículo de Phil Rosen titulado: Falta una bandera roja de recesión crítica.

Seguir Greg Friedman y Grupo Peachtree en LinkedIn.

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Peachtree Group Expands Executive Team with New Elevations

Peachtree Group announced the elevation of three senior executives, expanding their roles to strengthen the firm’s executive leadership team. The promotions include Michael Harper to president of hotel lending, Jared Schlosser to executive vice president of hotel lending and head of CPACE and Michael Ritz to executive vice president of investments.
Jared Schlosser, Michael Harper, Michael Ritz

ATLANTA (April 3, 2024) – Peachtree Group ("Peachtree") announced the elevation of three senior executives, expanding their roles to strengthen the firm’s executive leadership team. The promotions include Michael Harper to president of hotel lending, Jared Schlosser to executive vice president of hotel lending and head of CPACE and Michael Ritz to executive vice president of investments.

"These appointments underscore Peachtree's commitment to its core growth initiatives in hotel lending, as well as fostering talent from within our own ranks, with an eye toward further diversifying its allocation strategies as it taps into new investment opportunities," said Greg Friedman, Peachtree's CEO and managing principal.

Since joining Peachtree in 2014, Harper has distinguished himself through a succession of leadership roles, directing the company's credit business, particularly in loan originations and strategic acquisition of credit portfolios. Since joining, he has led the team through over 500 investments totaling over $6 billion. As president, he is responsible for the entirety of Peachtree's credit platform for hotels, guiding all facets of the credit business.

Schlosser's promotion to executive vice president of hotel lending and head of CPACE reflects his exceptional performance and extensive knowledge of the hotel loan origination processes and the firm's Commercial Property Assessed Clean Energy (CPACE) program. His significant contributions since joining the firm in 2019 have been crucial in advancing Peachtree's CPACE program, which now exceeds $800 million in transactions and has become one of the largest in the U.S. Furthermore, since taking over hotel originations at the start of 2022, Peachtree has completed more than $1.5 billion in hotel loans, further demonstrating his expertise and effectiveness in these dual roles.

Ritz has been elevated to the position of executive vice president of investments and will oversee Peachtree's credit and equity investments across commercial real estate and other ventures.  He joined Peachtree in 2017, and his promotion recognizes his expertise in successfully managing and growing a portfolio of investments that is now approaching $10 billion in transaction asset value.

 

Peachtree was recently ranked as the tenth largest U.S. commercial real estate hotel lender, its third consecutive year in the top ten, by the Mortgage Bankers Association ("MBA") 2023 loan origination rankings.

About Peachtree Group
Peachtree Group is a vertically integrated investment management firm specializing in identifying and capitalizing on opportunities in dislocated markets, anchored by commercial real estate. Today, we manage billions in capital across acquisitions, development, and lending, augmented by services designed to protect, support and grow our investments. For more information, visit www.peachtreegroup.com.

Contact:

Charles Talbert

678-823-7683

ctalbert@peachtreegroup.com