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裁员看起来像信仰而不是数据驱动
桃树集团首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼指出，2024年的债务到期额创历史新高，接近1万亿美元，未来两年还将再有1万亿美元。在这次接受施瓦布网络采访时，他讨论了商业地产，以及从现在到年底，市场如何仍将削减50个基点作为定价，而且这种减幅越来越像信心而不是 “数据驱动”。
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ATLANTA (Jan. 6, 2025) – Peachtree Group ("Peachtree") announced today that Josh Rubinger has joined as senior vice president of national accounts for its broker-dealer affiliate, Peachtree PC Investors("PPCI"). Rubinger’s role will focus on business development, overseeing relationships with broker-dealers and registered investment advisors (“RIAs”)and supporting the distribution of the firm’s investment offerings.
With more than two decades of experience in financial services and a proven track record of developing strong client relationships, Rubinger's leadership will further strengthen Peachtree's commitment to delivering tailored investment solutions through PPCI.
“This strategic hire underscores our focus on grow thand strengthening Peachtree’s position as a trusted partner within the investment community,” said Brian Cho, president of PPCI. “Josh's extensive experience and strong network of relationships with broker-dealers and RIAs position him as a key asset to our team. His expertise will be instrumental in shaping our selling group and broadening our market reach.”
Prior to joining PPCI, Rubinger served as senior vice president and head of national accounts for Ashford Securities, a broker-dealer wholly owned by Ashford Inc., an alternative asset management company specializing in the real estate and hospitality sectors.
Before Ashford, he served as senior vice president of national accounts for Lightstone Capital Markets, the capital markets division of The Lightstone Group. Rubinger also served as vice president and East Coast national accounts manager at Thompson National Properties LLC. Before entering the alternative investment space, he held roles with Oppenheimer Funds andColumbia Funds.
Rubinger holds a bachelor’s degree from Hamilton College and FINRA Series 7 and 63 securities licenses.
About Peachtree Group
Peachtree Group is a vertically integrated investment management firm specializing in identifying and capitalizing on opportunities in dislocated markets, anchored by commercial real estate. Today, the company manages billions in capital across acquisitions, development and lending, augmented by services designed to protect, support and grow its investments. For more information, visit www.peachtreegroup.com.
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美国各地的 “严重水下” 住房抵押贷款激增
桃树首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼评论了亚历山大·坦齐最近为彭博社撰写的一篇关于美国多户住宅市场状况的文章。
与之前的经济衰退（例如2009年的经济衰退）相比，房地产市场目前的状况似乎更好。当时，26％的抵押住宅物业为负资产，而现在仅为2.7％左右。尽管依赖债务的行业，例如商业地产，在调整到更高的利率方面面临挑战，但如果房地产市场没有重大挫折，我们不太可能走向重大经济衰退。
房地产行业的稳定可以帮助缓冲经济衰退，因为它直接影响消费者的财富和信心，这反过来又会影响支出——考虑到消费者支出约占美国GDP的70％，这是一个重要因素。这种稳定增加了经济持续增长而不是陷入衰退的可能性。
这篇评论最初出现在 格雷格·弗里德曼的领英页面 2024年5月15日，这是对彭博社亚历山大·坦齐的文章的回应，标题是：“美国各地的住房抵押贷款都在上升。
了解更多关于 Peachtree 集团的信贷部门。
缺少严重的衰退危险信号
Peachtree首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼评论了菲尔·罗森最近为《Inc.》杂志撰写的一篇文章，该文章探讨了高利率下的贷款需求。
在2022年之前，借款人十多年来一直有机会以接近零的利率获得贷款，这一好处推动了商业房地产市场的增长和扩张。今天，我们看到前所未有的贷款量在更高的利率环境中到期，银行减少了商业房地产的敞口。尽管有这些条件，贷款需求继续增长。
从历史上看，利率上升期间贷款需求的激增将是信贷紧缩迫在眉睫的警告信号。然而，最近的数据违背了预期，表明这种模式有所偏离，银行报告称，尽管维持了繁琐的贷款标准，但贷款活动仍有所增加。这种异常现象，加上通货膨胀放缓，挑战了传统的衰退指标。尽管一些分析师谨慎地认为 “这次有所不同”，但经济不确定性仍然存在，这就潜在的市场动态提出了有趣的问题。
尽管不确定性依然存在，但有一点仍然很清楚：商业房地产行业面临着关键时刻。我们正在警惕地应对不断变化的格局，在由前所未有的力量塑造的市场中平衡风险和机遇。
这篇评论最初出现在 格雷格·弗里德曼的领英页面 2024 年 5 月 16 日，回应 Inc 的一本杂志 菲尔·罗森的文章标题为： 缺少严重的经济衰退危险信号。
了解更多关于 Peachtree 集团的信贷部门。